Gentlemen’s Wimbledon semi-final preview

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Mark Swarbrick, Head of In-Play Trading, previews the semi-finals

After 3 straight sets victories in the quarter finals and an absolute classic 5 setter in the other it’s time to take a look at who is left in this years Wimbledon.

The opening match features world number 1 Novak Djokovic (1/14) who faces the Frenchman Richard Gasquet (7/1).

After coming through against Cilic in straight sets Djokoivc faces a player ranked much lower (21) in Gasquet and a player against whom he has an excellent record. Indeed the H2H stats give Djokoivc a 12-1 advantage (Gasquet’s only win coming in 2007), and their most recent encounter at last month’s French Open noted Djokovic cruising to a 6-1 6-2 6-3 victory in the 4th round.

Djokovic works at a much higher level of the game than Gasquet whose recent record in the Slams/Masters series gives little cause for encouragement in this match-up, he has won a couple of tournaments this year at the ATP250 level but in general he struggles when the class is raised. Djokovic on the other hand isn’t world number 1 without reason, winning multiple titles through the year and there is little to suggest anything other than a relatively easy victory here for the Serbian. (3-0 is a 4/7 chance).

The other semi-final looks a potential classic on paper with Andy Murray (8/11) taking on Roger Federer (11/10) in the match up the draw suggested from the very start.

They have both being playing well through the draw, with maybe just Federer having the edge in terms of the quality of the Tennis produced so far, but and it’s a big but, records against the lower ranking players will have no effect here, and I expect both players to raise the levels of their games up a notch.

H2H records give Federer a very slight edge at 12 v 11 and they have spilt their only 2 meeting on grass, Federer winning the final here at Wimbledon in 4 sets, whilst Murray got his revenge a few weeks later on the same court winning the 2012 Olympic title in straight sets.

It’s a great match up and you can make an argument for either player here but in my mind Federer just has the edge at the prices. I can see the opening couple of sets being shared before we settle down to battle it out in front of millions watching on the TV here in the UK.

Everything is set up for a classic encounter with the match to go to 5 sets a real possibility (7/4), given i feel it will go at least 4 sets getting with Federer to win the match with both players winning a set looks a decent play with this being quoted at 7/4.

As usual a full range of markets will be available both pre-match and In Play here at William Hill

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