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8/11 Kei Nishikori v Marin Cilic 11/10
I will be the first to admit that the suggestion that the young guns may break through in this year’s US Open would end up with this final – congratulations if you backed either of these 2 players at big prices prior to the start of the event. At 22.00BST on Monday evening we will see the start of match which will crown a new grand Slam champion.
As the prices suggest it should be a very competitive match, and I wouldn’t be at all surprised to see this one go all the way (7/4 to go to 5 sets).
They have met on 7 previous occasions, and twice in the US Open, 2010 Nishikori came through a second round encounter 6-1 in the final set, whilst in 2012 Cilic turned the form around winning a third round match in 4 tight sets. Overall the head to head reads 5-2 in favour of the Japanese player.
In what will be their first Grand Slam final appearance a tight and nervy opening set is likely and we bet 19/10 that the opening set will go to a tie break, with Nishikori 9/2 and Cilic 5/1 to win the opener on the tie breaker.
If it follows the expected path the market to win the match and both players to win a set will look tempting with Nishikori currently trading at 13/10 and Cilic at 7/4.
Looking at this year’s form for inspiration tips the stats in favour of Cilic, who is second on the lists in terms of matches won behind Federer, and has victories on tour indoors in Zagreb, and here in the US at Delray Beach. Nishikori also has a couple of victories on tour this year winning on the US hard courts in Memphis and on the clay in Barcelona.
Despite not having the ‘big’ names in the final, this could prove to be a classic between these two first time Grand Slam finalists and with full coverage In Play on Monday night here at William Hill we look sure to end the final Grand Slam of the year with a bang.